Arch Manning
Texas Longhorns
91
Elite

Arch Manning

Texas LonghornsContender
QBOffenseElite
Projected Starter

Is Arch Manning starting?

Arch Manning is the projected starter at QB for Texas Longhorns.

See full Texas Longhorns depth chart ›

The Real Story

Beyond The Box Score

Manning plays quarterback at Texas under more scrutiny than any of his relatives ever faced — grandfather Archie and uncles Peyton and Eli combined for four Super Bowl titles — and even his grandparents say watching him is harder than watching their own sons. 'I'm more nervous for my grandson than I ever was for my boys,' Olivia Manning has said. His first year as a starter in 2025 opened rough before he and Texas rallied to a 7-2 finish and a Top-11 CFP ranking, and he leans on uncle Peyton for regular film study, including trips to Denver to break down tape together. He turned down the 2026 NFL Draft to return to Texas for his redshirt junior season as a preseason Heisman favorite.

Not an underdog story — Manning is a five-star legacy recruit carrying the weight of the sport's most famous quarterback family. The real arc is pressure: a rough start to his first year as a starter gave way to a late-season CFP push and a return as a preseason Heisman favorite.

Source: Archie, Olivia Manning get 'more nervous' watching Arch play than they did for either Peyton or Eli +3 more
New Orleans, LA
Jersey
#16
Class
RS JR
Height
6'4"
Weight
219 lbs

Career Stats

SeasonPass YdsTDINT
20253163267
202493892
20233000

Regular-season totals from public sources. Derived splits (completion %, yards per carry, catch rate) aren't available in our current dataset.

Recruiting Profile

Stars
★★★★★5-star
Composite
0.9995
National Rank
#1
High School
Isidore Newman
Hometown
New Orleans, LA

Why this rating?

On a 88-rated offense; 95th-percentile production (×0.97 for competition level) put them +7 vs unit starters → 91.

Team offense (SP+)
88
Rating basis
On-field stats
On-field production
Outperforms 95% of peers
Recruiting pedigree
Top <1% recruit
Strength of schedule
Faces easier competition — rating adjusted down (×0.97)
Depth-chart adjustment
+7 for role

2026 projection — based on SP+ (a respected team-efficiency metric; 2026 not published yet, using 2025), 2025 production, recruiting, and the 2026 transfer portal; capped to depth-chart order.

The People's Ratings

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91
Elite
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Team Role

X-Factor
QB: 3163 pass yds · 26 TD · 7 INT
Usage / Involvement100%

Depth at QB · Texas Longhorns

  1. 11691Arch ManningStarter
  2. 2967Karle Lacey Jr.
  3. 3662Dia Bell
  4. 41962MJ Morris
Coach TexasTake them from week one to the natty. You call every play.

Overall ratings blend team strength (SP+), on-field production, and recruiting. Higher = more impactful.